Before credit exists, someone has to find the borrower.
The capital can be ready to invest. Even so, no operation exists until someone makes a good demand appear.
May 10, 2015
Before credit exists, someone has to find the borrower.
The capital can be ready to invest. Even so, no operation exists until someone makes a good demand appear.
For some years I concentrated my attention on a rather obvious question: who has money and who needs it? It seemed that a good part of financial work happened in the distance between those two points. Then I came to understand that the distance is larger than it appears. Bringing two people together is not enough. One has to understand the operation's timing, select the right risk, establish collateral, and build a structure that survives the day the parties stop being equally optimistic. Each new layer made the sentence I heard years ago, about nothing making more money than selling money, less simple and more interesting.
Now I see there is an even earlier stage.
Before analyzing the credit, someone has to make the credit appear.
A financial institution can have billions available to lend. It can have analysts, systems, detailed policies, legal departments, and an impressive number of people able to explain why a given risk should or should not be accepted. None of that automatically creates an operation. The money can be perfectly organized inside the bank and stay idle if nobody finds a company that needs exactly that capital, in that structure, under terms compatible with the institution's policy.
It is an almost banal observation, but some banalities hide entire businesses.
Capital has to be originated toward somewhere.
This week I was looking at the numbers of an American company called LendingClub. The company presents itself as a marketplace connecting borrowers and investors. In the first quarter of this year alone, roughly US$ 1.6 billion in new loans passed through its platform. Since operations began in 2007, more than US$ 9 billion in originations had already been facilitated.
The number draws attention. The mechanism draws far more.
LendingClub does not appear to be trying to reproduce the traditional bank exactly, raising all the capital and then taking on all the loan risk alone. The company built a structure where demand is found, analyzed, organized, and connected to different forms of capital. Part of the loans is distributed to investors through notes, another part through certificates, and another through whole loan sales to qualified investors.
The money can belong to other people.
The borrower is found by the platform.
That distinction interests me deeply.
Perhaps I have spent the last few years thinking too much about the wrong side of the balance sheet. When we look at the financial system, capital seems naturally to occupy the center because it is what everyone wants. The bank has money, so it seems to hold the power. The fund has money. The wealthy family has money. The investor has money.
But capital without opportunity is merely capacity not exercised.
An institution can have R$ 1 billion available and no good place to put it. In that case, the problem is not funding. It is origination.
That changes the hierarchy I imagined.
Whoever has money needs whoever finds good places for money almost as much as whoever needs money depends on whoever has it. The dependence is not perfectly symmetrical, obviously. Liquid capital can wait. The businessman with an obligation coming due does not have the same luxury. But when money is managed professionally, staying idle indefinitely is not a solution either. The investor has to produce a return. The fund has a mandate. The bank has a budget. The family seeks to preserve and remunerate its wealth.
Everyone needs assets.
Good credit demand is an asset.
That may be the first time I have managed to formulate it that way.
A loan is not merely a debt from the borrower's point of view. On the other side, it becomes someone's investment. A company's obligation is another person's financial asset.
The same document has different identities depending on the side of the table.
That means a good borrower is not simply asking capital for a favor. He is offering the creditor a possibility of return.
Naturally, that possibility has to be good enough. Credit does not stop being asymmetric because we start looking at the borrower with a little more dignity. The creditor can still lose the principal for a capped gain. Selection remains fundamental.
But the relationship stops looking paternalistic.
A good businessman who needs to finance inventory is not necessarily someone begging the system for money. He may be offering an investor a good-quality operation, adequately remunerated, with sufficient protection and a compatible tenor.
If that businessman does not know the source of capital and the source of capital does not know that businessman, there is economic value in making the operation visible.
That is where the word origination starts to gain weight.
For a long time I thought of the intermediary above all as someone who had relationships. The fellow knew a bank manager, knew a businessman, and made the introduction. The more I observe the market, the more limited that definition seems.
An introduction is an activity.
Origination should be a competence.
The difference lies in everything that happens before sending the email.
What is the company's real need? How much money actually solves the problem? Why does it need the capital? What tenor matches the business cycle? What collateral exists? What is the financial track record? How will the debt be paid? What kind of creditor best understands that risk? Should the company seek a bank, a fund, a securitization vehicle, a private investor, or some structure combining more than one source?
If those questions have not been answered, there is no originated operation.
There is merely a company asking for money.
The distinction seems important because it changes the loan broker's role. The bad broker is a noise multiplier. He receives an incomplete request and sends it to fifteen institutions. Each bank starts practically from zero. It asks for documents, tries to understand the business, finds inconsistencies, and often realizes quickly that the operation would never fit its policy.
The intermediary did not reduce work.
He distributed useless work.
It is a human version of spam.
A good broker should do the opposite. The better the origination, the fewer doors he should have to knock on. Not because he holds secret information, but because he knows the map well enough to know where compatibility is most likely.
Perhaps one of the clearest signs of incompetence in this market is an operation circulating everywhere.
If twenty institutions received the same request and nobody did it, the twenty-first also starts receiving an implicit message: twenty people saw something before me and refused.
Indiscriminate distribution can deteriorate the very asset it meant to finance.
That is particularly important in the private market.
A company may not want suppliers, competitors, employees, or clients to know it is seeking a certain amount of capital. There is not necessarily a problem with the company. It can be an acquisition, a reorganization, a temporary mismatch, an inventory opportunity, or a wealth operation.
Even so, the simple fact of appearing on dozens of desks starts creating a narrative.
Markets are machines for manufacturing explanations out of incomplete information.
Discretion, therefore, has economic value.
That interests me because it starts bringing credit closer to other private markets I have been observing. A genuinely interesting property can be traded off market because the owner prefers few buyers with real execution capacity. A corporate stake can circulate among two or three families before anyone considers a broad process. A club deal can arise from a relationship among investors who know a certain opportunity and do not need to turn it into a public product.
In all those cases, origin matters.
Who brought it?
Where did it come from?
Why did it reach us?
Those look like trivial questions, but they may contain a good part of the advantage.
In the public market, everyone can look at the same screen. Naturally there are still differences of analysis, speed, and conviction. But the asset's existence is known.
In the private market, discovering the asset exists is already part of the work.
Perhaps that is why family offices seem to devote so much attention to direct investing networks. The Family Office Exchange organized, some years ago, a structure specifically aimed at connecting families interested in direct investments, selecting private deals, and fostering relationships among investing families. It is not hard to understand why.
A family with significant wealth does not merely need a manager telling it which fund to buy. It may want to see companies, properties, credits, and co-investments directly.
For that, it needs deal flow.
And deal flow is merely another way of talking about origination.
There is a fascinating aspect to that shift.
The wealthy family is normally imagined as the one with access because it has money.
That is only partly true.
Money buys entry into many rooms. It does not automatically buy a good network of opportunities.
A family office recently created after the sale of a company can have hundreds of millions of reais liquid and still spend its first years receiving exactly what every bank is trying to sell.
The wealth is extraordinary.
The origination is mediocre.
Another family may have less capital but have built, over decades, a network of businessmen, investors, other family offices, and operators. It sees a company before the competitive process. It takes part in an acquisition alongside people it knows. It finances a property with good collateral because the owner prefers a private negotiation. It is invited into a club deal because it has executed others.
Which of the two holds the greater financial advantage?
It is not possible to answer by looking only at the size of the wealth.
Access is also an asset.
But, as always, the word access attracts a dangerous quantity of vanity.
I have written about that in recent years because it seems one of the subtlest risks of the private market. The man receives an opportunity that is not available to everyone and immediately feels special. Then he turns the feeling of exclusivity into a premise of quality.
It is an expensive way to feed the ego.
An opportunity does not improve because it arrived through someone's private phone line.
The origin can be excellent information. It is not a conclusion.
In fact, the more exclusive the operation, the larger the question should be: why am I seeing this?
There are very good answers.
The owner prefers discretion.
Quick execution is worth more than an auction.
There is a historical relationship.
The asset is too small for large institutions.
The debtor has a specific need few creditors understand.
The structure is too complex for a standardized shelf.
There are also bad answers.
Nobody else wanted it.
The documentation would not survive a broad process.
The originator has a conflict.
The return looks high precisely because the risk is not being correctly described.
Origination and analysis have to stay separate, even when they happen in the same head.
Whoever found an operation inevitably starts liking it.
That psychological problem deserves more attention than it gets. After weeks talking to a businessman, understanding the business, convincing the investor to look, and trying to assemble a structure, saying the operation does not make sense after all starts to carry an emotional cost.
All the prior work seems lost.
The mind starts protecting the investment already made in effort.
That is exactly the moment when discipline matters.
Time spent does not improve a credit.
A bad operation after a hundred hours is still bad.
Perhaps the originator's hardest capacity is abandoning what he originated.
That creates an important distinction between volume and quality. A platform like LendingClub impresses by the quantity of originations, but any credit business will be judged over the long run not merely by its ability to put assets on the platform, but by the quality of those assets and by the confidence investors keep in the origination.
The marketplace depends on both sides.
If there are many borrowers and few investors, it jams.
If there is much capital and little qualified demand, it jams.
If there is enough volume on both sides but the loans are of bad quality, confidence eventually jams.
That kind of model is an organism of equilibrium.
Perhaps that is what makes origination so strategic.
It is not client acquisition in the ordinary sense.
Origination determines what will enter someone's balance sheet or portfolio.
A software company can acquire a bad client and lose some commercial cost. A credit originator can acquire a bad borrower and put someone else's capital at risk.
The word client becomes almost insufficient.
He is a client on one side and an asset on the other.
That dual nature produces incentives that have to be handled carefully.
If the originator earns only at the moment the loan is made, he will naturally have an incentive to make more loans.
The investor bears the risk over the years.
The temporal difference between compensation and consequence keeps appearing.
Perhaps a good origination machine needs some form of cumulative reputation that makes every operation matter for the next. If an institution notices that the deals coming from a given broker are consistently well prepared, suited to its policy, and transparent about the risks, it starts looking at new operations differently.
The broker built personal credit inside the credit market.
That seems an extraordinary asset to me.
It does not replace underwriting.
The institution still has to analyze.
But it reduces the cost of attention.
In a world full of people asking for money, being someone whose operations deserve to be opened is already an advantage.
Perhaps the loan broker's real professional wealth lies there.
Not in the contact list.
In the average quality of the calls he makes.
Knowing a hundred bankers is not especially hard.
Getting ten of them to answer because they know you do not waste their time is another matter.
The difference is reputation.
And reputation, as I wrote before, works as capital because it is built slowly, can be used several times, and can disappear in a single badly handled operation.
That is why low profile is beginning to seem even more compatible with this kind of activity. Not in the affected sense of hiding to look mysterious. There are people who make discretion a rather loud form of self-promotion.
I mean an economic discretion.
The relevant market knows who you are.
That is enough.
A good loan broker does not need ten thousand people to know his name. He needs twenty people with capital to take his call and certain businessmen to trust him when the need arises.
A small network of high consequence can be worth more than an enormous audience of low consequence.
That also seems to happen in family offices.
The best private opportunities are probably not distributed by advertisement. They circulate through relationships. A lawyer introduces one family to another. A businessman who sold a company presents a deal. A private banker knows a client with liquidity. A manager knows a company looking for capital.
There is not necessarily an organized exchange for each of those things.
The network is the market.
That sentence seems important to me.
In public markets, the institution organizes the network.
In private markets, the network itself can be the institution.
That is why relationships produce a form of invisible infrastructure. There is no building, system, or contract capable of showing the map completely. But the deals circulate through it.
That brings an advantage to whoever is well positioned and a threat to whoever confuses social position with competence.
It is possible to be invited into many bad deals.
Perhaps even easier than being invited into good ones.
The larger the wealth and the better the network, the more selective the investor has to become. Flow increases before quality does.
So the family office with good origination has to develop an equally good capacity for killing ideas.
That word may sound harsh, but I like it.
Kill early.
A bad opportunity should die before consuming weeks of analysis, lawyers, and family attention. An operation with no clear source of payment does not improve because a hundred pages were produced about it.
Perhaps there is a relationship between sophistication and the ability to eliminate early what does not work.
The amateur analyzes everything.
The professional learns which questions end the analysis.
In credit, some are especially powerful.
What for?
Where does the payment come from?
What wealth is actually available?
What debt already exists?
What happens if revenue falls 20%?
Which asset can be enforced?
Who is senior?
Why does this money have to come from outside?
Why now?
The last question frequently reveals a great deal.
There is a difference between the businessman who seeks credit because an opportunity appeared and the one who seeks credit because every other resource ran out.
From the outside, both present demand.
Economically, they are different species.
The originator has to notice that before the investor does.
Otherwise he is not originating. He is transporting documents.
That leads me to think the best originator probably develops some specialization. A generalist broker may know more sources of capital, but someone who works repeatedly with a certain kind of company starts seeing patterns that do not appear on a form.
Agribusiness, for example, has its own calendars, specific collateral, climate risks, commodity prices, and inventory cycles. Real estate has another anatomy. An industry with fragmented receivables is different from a clinic whose revenue depends on health plans. A regional distributor can have a small margin and excellent turnover. A businessman can look barely profitable in the annual photograph and manage working capital extraordinarily well.
Good credit has to understand the business behind the ratios.
That creates another interesting possibility.
Perhaps private origination can find risks that large banks price badly, not because the banks are incompetent, but because standardization requires simplification.
A large institution has to create policies that work for thousands of cases. That scale produces efficiency and inevitably creates blind spots. Some good companies will fall outside the model because they do not fit perfectly.
That is the space where private capital can make money.
Not by lending to whoever the bank refused simply because the bank refused.
That would be a spectacularly idiotic adverse selection strategy.
But by finding out why it refused.
If the refusal happened because the risk is bad, excellent. We saved time.
If it happened because the bank's product does not match the asset, there may be an opportunity.
That distinction may be the heart of off-market credit.
Not looking for rejected garbage.
Looking for institutional incompatibilities.
A company has an excellent-quality property but needs a structure the bank does not offer.
A partner needs to finance an acquisition whose tenor does not fit the policy.
An operation is too small for a large fund and too large for the businessman's usual banking segment.
A family office can accept collateral it understands particularly well.
A group of investors can take part through a club deal.
There are countless spaces between the boxes.
The financial system is organized into products.
Business life is not.
That incompatibility produces demand for intermediaries.
Perhaps the genuinely valuable loan broker is the one who understands the topography of those boxes.
He knows not merely who has money, but which money carries which restrictions.
That looks like a detail until you realize all professional capital has rules.
One fund may not be able to exceed a certain LTV.
Another has a maximum tenor.
Another cannot finance certain sectors.
A bank requires certain documentation.
A private family may have far more flexibility but want specific assets or easily understood collateral.
Saying there are R$ 100 billion available in the market is, therefore, almost useless.
How much of those R$ 100 billion can finance this company, in this way, for this tenor, using this collateral?
The quantity falls quickly.
Origination is also learning that cartography.
The more I think about it, the more limited the expression "seeking credit" seems. It sounds as though the businessman casts a net into the market and hopes to pull out money.
The process should be the reverse.
Before seeking, one has to prepare.
A company with bad documentation can be good and look bad.
A company with impeccable documentation can be bad and look good.
The originator's job is to reduce the distance between documentary appearance and economic reality without dressing up either one.
That requires organization.
Balance sheets.
Income statements.
Indebtedness.
Contracts.
Corporate documents.
Collateral.
Bank statements.
Receivables.
Tax information.
There is no glamour in that part.
Perhaps that is precisely where many deals get lost.
It is more pleasant to talk about a R$ 50 million operation than to organize fifty documents so someone can understand it.
But capital should not be distributed on the basis of verbal enthusiasm.
The quality of the information is part of the quality of the origination.
That may explain why platforms like LendingClub are interesting beyond the technology. A platform can standardize part of what the traditional broker executes by hand. The borrower enters through a defined process. Information is collected. Risk is classified. The asset is presented in a form organized enough to be distributed to investors.
Technology does not create the credit.
It creates the capacity to repeat the origination.
That difference is enormous.
One person can originate a few operations using a phone, email, and memory.
An origination machine can turn knowledge into process.
The value stops depending entirely on the individual.
That may be the leap from profession to company.
The individual broker knows people.
The company turns relationships, data, and process into a capacity more people can exercise.
I do not yet know whether that works well for large, specific operations in which each case requires a lot of context. Perhaps technology is especially efficient in more standardized loans. But the principle interests me regardless of ticket size.
Every repeated activity carries the question: what has to stay human and what can become process?
In traditional loan broking, there is probably an absurd amount of work that requires no extraordinary judgment.
Requesting documents.
Checking outstanding items.
Organizing versions.
Following up with institutions.
Logging proposals.
Remembering follow-ups.
Updating the client.
Tracking commissions.
None of that is the reason a good broker should exist.
If half his time is consumed by those things, capacity is being wasted.
I do not yet know how that question will be resolved. Perhaps CRM systems will get better. Perhaps specific platforms will appear. Perhaps banks will open interfaces. Perhaps each broker will keep building his own spreadsheets for a long time.
But I can see a problem.
The professional whose real asset is relationships and judgment spends a good part of the day working as secretary to his own deals.
That looks like a bad allocation.
A family office lives through something similar. Its differential should lie in capital allocation, selection, relationships, risk analysis, and a view of the whole estate. Even so, an enormous amount of energy can be spent consolidating documents, chasing managers, organizing information, and trying to find out what happened in an operation closed months earlier.
As the wealth becomes more complex, the back office stops being a detail.
The infrastructure begins to influence the quality of the decision.
That may be another idea I want to watch in the coming years.
People like to talk about the front office because that is where the big decisions are. Investments, credit, negotiations, clients.
But a decision is only as good as the information available.
If documents are scattered, data is out of date, and nobody knows exactly the status of an operation, the institution may look sophisticated in the meeting room and be handmade behind the door.
There is a lot of wealth administered in a surprisingly improvised way.
That probably creates silent risks.
A maturity missed.
Collateral that was not renewed.
The wrong document sent to the creditor.
A commission badly recorded.
A company submitted twice to the same institution by different people.
None of those events seems capable of destroying a large fortune on its own.
But bad systems rarely fail cinematically at first. They produce friction. Then volume increases. Then friction becomes error.
Even so, I do not want to run ahead of the 2015 thesis.
What I understand today is more basic.
Origination is an asset.
Perhaps one of the most underrated inside credit.
Capital receives attention because it has a number.
An institution can say: we have R$ 10 billion.
It is hard to put an equally elegant number on a network of trustworthy businessmen, brokers, family offices, lawyers, accountants, banks, and investors capable of producing operations over the next ten years.
But perhaps the second is precisely what lets the first generate a return.
Money can be raised.
A mature network cannot.
It has to age.
That makes relationships look like an even more interesting advantage. Not because they are impossible to reproduce, but because they require time. A competitor can copy a rate tomorrow. He can hire technology. He can raise capital. He cannot import fifteen years of relationships as easily.
There is path dependence in that.
The relationship you built yesterday changes the opportunities you will see tomorrow.
It is a form of cumulative capital.
That is perhaps why it makes sense to treat it with the same care one treats money.
Not spending reputation for a small commission.
Not presenting a bad operation to someone merely because the month was weak.
Not using an important relationship to defend something you do not believe in yourself.
There are trades that generate revenue and consume invisible wealth.
The balance sheet does not show it.
But the account exists.
That may be one of the reasons the best intermediation business has to be thought about in decades, not deals.
If the objective is a single transaction, it is rational to extract the maximum from that transaction.
If the objective is to occupy a position of trust for twenty years, the optimization changes.
Sometimes it is rational to earn less.
Sometimes it is rational not to earn.
Sometimes it is rational to send the client to another solution.
Sometimes it is rational to tell the investor that the operation presented by your own client is not good.
That behavior looks economically naive only to whoever measures a relationship by the month's revenue.
Over the long run, trust can produce a compound return.
It may be one of the few things in business that genuinely compounds without appearing as interest.
A good operation increases the chance of the next.
A referral increases the network.
The network improves origination.
Better origination raises the average quality of the operations.
That improves reputation.
Reputation attracts more capital and better borrowers.
There is a possible virtuous cycle.
The opposite also exists.
The broker accepts anything.
He spreads bad operations.
Institutions start ignoring him.
What remains are less discerning financiers.
Good borrowers notice the low quality of the network.
The broker starts depending on the clients nobody else wants.
The spread may increase.
So does the toxicity.
There is adverse selection in reputation.
Relationships attract what they have learned to accept.
That seems a good reason to be careful from the start.
I do not want my name to become synonymous with "he can get some money for any operation."
It sounds like a compliment until you think about it for five minutes.
I would rather, if I ever occupy that position, be associated with something more restricted.
When he brings something, it is worth a look.
That sentence is worth more than an advertisement.
Perhaps that is also what a good family office looks for in the originators it deals with. Not thousands of proposals. People capable of filtering beforehand.
A large estate does not suffer from a lack of people wanting to present it opportunities.
It suffers from excess.
So the intermediary's value grows when he can reduce the volume without reducing the quality.
That inversion pleases me.
In retail, the salesman is paid to increase supply.
In large wealth, he may be paid to reduce noise.
The good adviser's product can be fewer things.
Fewer useless products.
Fewer mediocre investments.
Fewer badly structured debts.
Fewer meetings.
More relevant decisions.
That starts approaching what I consider a real family office: not a financial supermarket for the wealthy, but an institution built around the interests of one specific family.
Such an institution should know both the assets and the debts.
Both investment opportunities and sources of liquidity.
Both public and private markets.
Both what the family owns and what it should never own.
It should be able to look at a businessman in the family and say he does not need a new investment, he needs to refinance a debt.
Or the opposite.
Perhaps the border between investment and credit is far more artificial than it looks inside institutions.
The same estate can be a creditor in one operation and a borrower in another.
A family can finance a businessman through private credit and simultaneously use debt against an asset of its own to avoid selling another position.
Money circulates in both directions.
Whoever sees only products misses the system.
That is why origination can have value on the wealth side too.
It is not merely about originating borrowers for creditors.
One can originate investment opportunities for families.
Originate properties.
Originate companies.
Originate club deals.
Originate partners.
Perhaps the central skill is less "credit" and more the ability to find and structure private transactions before they become commodities.
It is a broad field.
I do not yet know where I will end up specializing.
But I notice a constant.
I want to be near the source.
The source of the demand.
The source of the capital.
The source of the information.
Perhaps that is why the term origination seems so apt to me. It points back to the beginning.
Whoever enters at the end chooses among options other people created.
Whoever is at the beginning takes part in creating the options.
That position has value.
It also carries responsibility.
The originator is the first filter in a chain that can end with millions of reais belonging to other people being put at risk.
He should not merely be good at selling.
He has to be good at doubting.
It is a combination that may take years to build.
I want to learn to sell without falling in love with the sale.
I want to learn to defend the client without defending a bad operation.
I want to be able to look at an exclusive opportunity and keep treating it as though it had been found in a classified ad.
I want to know important people without believing that social importance reduces financial risk.
I want to have access to off-market products and operations without needing to tell everyone I have access.
There is something vulgar in the need to announce exclusivity.
If it is genuinely exclusive and economically useful, the result should suffice.
Perhaps true financial luxury is not needing to buy the symbol of access because you already have the relationship.
A private banker can say a given product is reserved for the best clients. That may be true. Even so, I want to know what is inside the product.
A family office can invite me into a club deal. I want to understand the asset.
A well-known businessman can ask for credit. I want to understand the cash flow.
An important bank can approve. I want to understand the structure.
Someone else's authority should not outsource my analysis.
That may be a principle especially necessary the further I advance in the financial market. Big money circulates surrounded by names capable of producing deference. Large firms, banks, families, managers.
It is easy to feel safe when many respectable people are in the room.
That is also how many respectable people lose money together.
I prefer to keep some psychological distance.
The presence of intelligent people can be information.
It should never be a guarantee.
If the thesis depends on "they must know something," I do not have a thesis.
I believe that holds for LendingClub too. The numbers are impressive. The model is interesting. The fact that a company can originate more than US$ 1.6 billion in three months clearly demonstrates that origination can be industrialized and become a large financial activity.
It does not demonstrate that all the loans are good.
That answer will come with time.
And that may be the best way to end this year's reflection.
Origination creates the asset.
Time judges the origination.
The first event happens at the start of the operation.
The truth appears later.
One has to build a machine able to grow without letting the speed of the first outrun the capacity of the second.
That will probably be one of the great challenges of any business that tries to scale credit.
The easier origination becomes, the more important it becomes to know what not to originate.
Technology may reduce the cost of finding borrowers.
It does not automatically reduce the cost of error.
It may even amplify it, because it lets the error happen faster.
A machine that multiplies a good decision is extraordinary.
A machine that multiplies a bad decision merely makes ruin efficient.
That seems a rule that holds far beyond credit.
Before scaling anything, find out whether it deserves scale.
Perhaps I am still far from building a machine.
For now, I keep learning by hand where each piece goes.
But I can now see the design better.
There is capital looking for assets.
There are companies looking for money.
There are families looking for private investments.
There are banks looking for operations inside specific policies.
There are funds looking for risk they understand.
There are businessmen with good assets and bad structures.
There are opportunities that never reach a shelf.
Among all of them there are originators.
Some merely forward.
Others select, structure, and create trust.
It is that second position that interests me.
Because the question from 2009 may finally be becoming less abstract.
How do you sell money without owning the money?
First, perhaps it is necessary to own the demand.
Not in the sense of owning the client.
People are nobody's assets.
Owning the demand means being the person the businessman calls before he starts looking everywhere. Understanding his situation well enough to turn a need into an operation. Having enough trust that he hands over information. Knowing the market well enough to know where that operation can live.
If that relationship exists, capital becomes findable.
Without it, there is merely money on one side and unknown need on the other.
That may be the first meter of the entire financial chain.
And perhaps whoever controls that first meter well takes part in everything that happens afterward.
I do not yet know where that will lead me.
But I already know what I want to watch from here on.
Not merely who has money.
Who produces deal flow.
Not merely who approves.
Who originated.
Not merely which institution appears at the closing.
Who found the borrower when the operation did not yet exist.
Because before a debt becomes an asset for a bank, a fund, or a family, someone had to find it in the real world.
Perhaps the wealth of intermediation begins exactly there.
At the origin.
Leo Bentier