The Kindle is not an e-reader. It's the claim that whoever controls distribution controls the content.
Amazon isn't selling a reading device. It's building a platform where it decides what reaches readers — on the terms it sets.
November 22, 2007
The Kindle is not an e-reader. It's the claim that whoever controls distribution controls the content.
Amazon isn't selling a reading device. It's building a platform where it decides what reaches readers — on the terms it sets.
Amazon launched a device for reading books and people are assessing the screen, the weight, the battery. They got the object of analysis wrong. The Kindle is not a reader. It is a position taken in distribution.
Notice what the device really does, beneath the obvious function. It delivers books directly, over a wireless network, without going through a store, without an intermediary, in a format that only works inside Amazon's world. That is not convenience. It is a closed pipe.
A closed pipe between producer and consumer is the most valuable asset there is. It does not matter what runs through it — book, music, software. What matters is that, to reach the reader by that path, everyone has to ask permission from a single owner.
Today the publisher controls something essential: the price and the way the book reaches people's hands. Bookselling is fragmented, thousands of points, none with power alone. That was the balance. Amazon is proposing to replace it with a single gate that it controls.
It is the same physics as the phone device and the advertising layer. The pattern repeats because it is the most profitable structure the digital economy knows: enchant the user, trap the user in a proprietary format, and then charge whoever needs to reach him.
The proprietary format is the part no one is taking seriously, and it is the most important. A book bought for the Kindle does not leave with you to somewhere else. It lives inside Amazon's walled garden. Each purchase deepens the reader's lock-in and the publisher's dependence.
See the asymmetry being assembled. The publisher takes the risk of finding, editing and promoting the author. Amazon takes the right to distribute and, soon, to say at what price. Risk on one side, price control on the other. It is the dream arrangement for whoever keeps the control.
Today Amazon is generous. It will sell digital books cheaply, maybe at a loss, to fill the device with readers and the readers with books. Note that generosity, because it is temporary. It is the investment you make while the goal is to trap, not yet to profit.
When the reader is locked into the format and the base is large, the balance of power flips. Then Amazon will sit down with each publisher and explain the new price. And the publisher, who voluntarily handed over its distribution channel, will discover it has nowhere else to go.
That is the strategic mistake publishers are making now, thinking they gained a new sales counter. They did not gain a counter. They are handing the key to their own pricing to an intermediary who will, inevitably, use that key against them.
Because that is what whoever controls distribution always does. Not out of malice — out of incentive. If you stand between producer and customer, and the producer has no other path to the customer, the rational thing to do is squeeze the producer to the edge of what he can bear without disappearing.
The investor pricing the Kindle by the device's margin is measuring the shadow again. The hardware may even lose money, and lose money on purpose. The asset is not the device. It is the position the device wins between the reader and everything he will want to read for the rest of his life.
And there is a compounding effect that makes this nearly irreversible. Each book bought in the closed format raises the cost of the reader switching worlds. After a hundred books inside, leaving costs a hundred books. The reader's library becomes the chain that holds him. The collection is the cage.
Note too what this does to the diversity of what gets published. When a single gate decides what appears, what is recommended and at what price, the taste of one company starts to shape what the world reads. Concentrated distribution does not affect only price. It affects what exists.
The rule of this month is the same as every platform we are watching being born: the object sold is the bait; the position in distribution is the business. Stop assessing what the device does. Assess what it captures and whom it will be able to charge later.
The Kindle is a wedge. Thin, elegant, easy to underestimate. But it is a wedge driven exactly into the point where the book meets the reader — and whoever controls that point controls, in the end, the entire industry that depends on passing through it.
Mark the launch not as a gadget for reading enthusiasts, but as the day book distribution began to change owners — and the publishers applauded, not noticing they were applauding their own capture.
Leo Bentier